Harmonising Energy Models and Data to Aid Decisions on the Net Zero Transition (Openmod Workshop, Austria, 23rd Mar 2023)

        
Workshop synopsis
Funded by The Turing Institute and Bayes Centre, the aim of this 1hr workshop was to examine issues around the application of models and data in decision-making, providing new strategies to aid the transition to net zero. The specific theme was to improve linkages between: (1) the questions being asked by decision makers, (2) the evidence required to make a decision on such questions, and (3) the source of this evidence – i.e. data and/or models. A new visual approach was developed in the lead up to this event, to strengthen links between high-level decision-making activities in energy policy and associated evidence building workflows involving big data and models. This in-person workshop (along with the ECCI Edinburgh workshop on 24th Mar 2023) provided a 'hackathon-like' group activity session using a purpose-built web-app. This session was led by Dr Andrew Lyden.

Group Activity - Finding linkages: from questions, to evidence, to source
Task description: "Participants will be able to envisage any composition of models and data to answer policy questions (including models/data which may not yet exist), and to make graphical linkages to decision-making evidence." During this activity, each group developed their own high-level policy question, forming the basis of a policy design exercise. The groups then compiled lists of evidence, or information, required for actionable closure of this question. This crucial step was carried out before specific models and data were identified for the delivery of this evidence. The groups were able to iterate through adaptations of their original questions, to try to resolve the many issues with this process.

Data generated
Registers of energy models and energy datasets were generated during this in-person workshop, the aim of these being to create a more coherent reference point for energy modellers and analysts with a role in energy planning studies. Further to this, a number of high-level policy questions were generated, along with evidence requirements associated with each question. Rich associative networks (maps) were also generated, connecting questions, evidence, models, and datasets. All of the above data is structured within a SQL-based relational database and is linked directly to the web-app user interface pages. 

About the event
This workshop was delivered by Dr Andrew Lyden, Dr Wei Sun, and Dr Peter McCallum at The Institute for Energy Systems (within the University of Edinburgh's School of Engineering), with the support of Prof Chris Dent at The School of Mathematics. 13 participants attended this in-person workshop, wich was held as part of the wider Openmod Workshop event in Vienna (22nd-24th Mar). The web-platform used for the 1hr group activity session was developed in-house by the above team, during the project: "Harmonising Energy Models and Data to Aid Decisions on the Net Zero Transition" (funders: The Turing Institute; Bayes Centre).

Mapping activities Group 1
Which models & data sources will deliver this information?
What information is necessary to address this question?

CO2 emissions of different sectors

possible alternative energy sources and their CO2 emissions

necessary reduction of CO2 emissions to mitigate climate change

Question
What role should green hydrogen play in order to reduce CO2 emissions during the next decades?
DECISION
Compiled evidence
Group 1
Which models & data sources will deliver this information?
renewable ninja
Established Open source
Calculate costs of delivering hydrogen-ba…
Established Open source
Wind energy potential
Currently available
Technology cost
In future
EU Delegate Act
Currently available
What information is necessary to address this question?

electricity grid

hydrogen world market prices

hydrogen transmission capacities

domestic hydrogen demand

What qualifies as green hydrogen

CO2 price and associated policy framework

Electricity price

Marginal cost of green hydrogen production

Question
What is the economic potential of green hydrogen?
DECISION
Compiled evidence
Group 2
Which models & data sources will deliver this information?
Load profile generator
Established Open source
RAMP
Established Open source
Energy planning models
Established Open source
LCA model (of generation technology)
Established Commercial
LCA modeling (in general)
Emergent Commercial
GHG Protocol
Existence TBC
National inventories
Currently available
ENTSOE
Currently available
IPCC
Currently available
Ecoinvent
Currently available
What information is necessary to address this question?

What is the electricity mix (today/future), i.e. the share that each generation technology (e.g. coal, wind) has in the total electricity production?

What is the total amount of electricity generated (today/future)?

What is the total amount of emissions generated from electricity production?

What are the emissions per technology (e.g. coal, wind)?

What is the proper geographic reference frame for the assessment (e.g. country, bidding zone, continental grid)?

What is the time frame of interest?

What logic do you apply to allocate total electricity emissions to an individual consumer's emission share?

What is the total electricity consumption / the load profile (high temporal resolution) of the consumer?

Question
What is the emission share that an electricity consumer in a specific location (e.g. Vienna, AT) is responsible for (today/in the future)?
DECISION
Compiled evidence
Group 3
Which models & data sources will deliver this information?
OSeMOSYS
Established Open source
RAMP
Established Open source
Dispaset
Established Open source
Demand projections
Existence TBC
Resource estimates for renewable energies
Currently available
What information is necessary to address this question?

power demand projections

Potential and generation profiles of variable renewable energy sources

Price trajectories/learning curves for current and new power generating technologies

Question
Is there a need for nuclear power to reach future power demand in Sweden by 2050?
DECISION
Compiled evidence
Group 4
Which models & data sources will deliver this information?
ANTARES
Established Open source
PyPSA-Eur
Established Open source
Weather data: Reanalysis ERA5
Established Open source
Technical descriptions of consumers
In future
What information is necessary to address this question?

Future energy demand

Technology portfolio

Structure of the future market

Flexibility of future consumers

Question
How do we secure a stable electricity supply without punishing the consumers at high renewable penetration?
DECISION
Compiled evidence

Workshop summary points
New insights on decision-making
Discussion points on models
Discussion points on data

Workshop feeback
Feedback on workshop and platform
  1. I was confused about the right to left layout from question to model, I would have expected the direction to go from left to right :)
  2. I like the concept of the website, and the idea to have an interactive website with a structured way to address research questions and the evidence needed to answer these questions.
  3. Several UI issues - the radio buttons for information to be added disappear when zoomed in. I would like to be able to edit "model" or "data" after entering.
  4. What happens to this information I provide? Please include a contribution statement and licensing. Can I export the data I have provided